Monday, February 06, 2006

Watching weather could predict malaria epidemics - SciDev.Net

Watching weather could predict malaria epidemics - SciDev.Net: "[NAIROBI] Malaria epidemics could be predicted up to five months ahead using a special combination of climate models, say researchers.

In a study published by Nature today (1 February), Tim Palmer of the UK-based European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts and colleagues say the predictions could be used to strategically target insecticides and drugs to regions at risk of an outbreak.

The study was based on an early-warning system developed by Botswana's National Malaria Control Programme. The system uses information about rainfall, health surveillance and the population's vulnerability to malaria to detect unusual changes in seasonal patterns of disease."

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